Showing posts with label electoral consulting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label electoral consulting. Show all posts

Thursday, 16 April 2015

Campaign Finance

Important questions to ask which can vary depending on jurisdiction and level of governance:
- What requirements are there for reporting contributions and expenses?
- What is the campaign period?
- Are there periods when records must be retained before they can be destroyed?
- Are there contribution and expense limits?
- What are the finance filing deadlines?
- Are there any other restrictions or barriers to financing the campaign (publicly funded elections)


Always be mindful of the rule of finite resources and to maximize your return on investment for your resources.

Campaign resources; whether people, money or time, are always under pressure and in demand from all aspects of a campaign. Managing these resources as standalone or in combination for fundraising is vital. The trick is to select the best possible combination of all three resources. You want to make the best use of resources to get the largest impact and donations. Time spent using your candidate or volunteers going door to door is time not spent calling potential donors. It is important to budget all three resources (people, time, money) wisely, effectively and efficiently to get the biggest return.


Budgeting:
There is a cost for everything you do in a campaign, if not financial than timely. Once you have defined your detailed communications plan there will be variable costs: printed materials for door to door pamphlets, mailings and e-mail blasts, signs, web-hosting, event hosting, canvassing transportation, merchandise, etc. and you can begin to define your communications costs.  Add on your fixed costs: rent, staff, phones, utilities, computers, cameras, office furnishings, etc. Your budget should be realistic and not a wish list. You may want to prepare more than one; a high, medium and low budget to take into consideration the scenario where fundraising does not go as well as planned or exceeds expectations.

As many have said “Cash is King” and cash flow determines if you can stay in the game. As you spend money you should also think about how to bring more in as part of the budgeting process. After organizing and costing each task and their monetary requirements create a timeline in a calendar to determine when money will be required. This way you can set your fundraising requirements month by month, week by week or day by day.

Keeping a campaign inventory is essential, especially if this is not your first campaign. Some jurisdictions will count previous campaign inventory as a budgeted expense however others may allow them as 0 dollar items. When in doubt always consult the local election guidelines.

Fundraising:
Again “Cash is King” and cash flow determines if you are in the race. The best fundraiser in any campaign is the candidate, but the candidate also goes by the rule of infinite resources, therefore use their time wisely. Try to always have the candidate present for large donation requests and at meet and greet functions.

Campaigns should target donors in the same way they target voters, determine your best chance. Keep in mind that unlike voters who can only vote once or have to live in the constituency, they can give as many times as they want (some jurisdiction may have contribution limits for a particular office). If you are not an incumbent with a previously established donor base start collecting names of potential contributors from the following:
- Family
- Personal friends
- Professional colleagues
- Volunteers
- Local Businesses
- Community leaders
- Groups or organizations that could benefit or have interests in the jurisdiction
- Neighbourhood organizations
- Business groups/organizations/social networks
- Unions
- People who share your ideological view
- People who want to see another candidate defeated

Remember if they can’t give money they may be able to give time, resources or materials.

It is important to determine how best to approach a potential donor, should it be a senior member of the campaign team, a volunteer call centre operator or the candidate directly. It is important to remember/stress that it is not begging but asking the donor for an investment in the future.

There are many different ways to ask, direct mail, over the phone, face to face, at parties or events
etc.Each has best practices to be followed to get maximum results (a more in-depth review in will appear later on the blog).

Remember to ask at every opportunity!

Compliance:
The issue of compliance varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and is different at each level of government. When in doubt always consult the local election laws, having an accountant or lawyer on hand to determine if a particular expense or donation is eligible can be extremely helpful, as any rule breaking will not only reflect poorly on the campaign and the candidates judgement but could also have disastrous legal ramifications such as jail time, fines, removal from office and being barred from running again. The following are some fundamental questions to ask yourself when considering campaign compliance:

- Are there accounting requirements for the campaign?
- Is there a reporting system for contributions?
- Is there a method to report ineligible contributions?
- Are fundraising events happening outside of a campaign period? Are these contributions eligible in the jurisdiction?
- Are your records in an easy to understand and presentable form to submit to an auditors scrutiny?

For a free copy of a budget excel spreadsheet click here



Thursday, 26 March 2015

Big Data and Voter Registries – Election Officials



From analyzing the migratory track of the Canada Goose and its effects on the number of bird/plane interactions to the predictive modeling and profiling of consumer purchasing behavior.The use of big data has become prevalent in today’s society. Tracking voters intentions is no different. 

There has been a large increase in the number of data mining/farming firms establishing themselves in the use of big data in the electioneering fields: 270 Strategies Inc., NGP VAN, Goddard Gunster Inc., Elections Impact Group and Campaign Communications Group just to name a few. The application of big data in the election process extends over both the area of campaigning and election administration of voter list management and poll GIS.

Today we are looking at the application of big data in the maintenance and creation of voter registries. We know from statistics, that there is on average over 20% movement in the general population each year. There are numerous methods that jurisdictions use to maintain their voters list. Some jurisdictions require voters to register themselves. Others maintain their own list with the use of data from sources such as vital statistics (birth, death and marriage certificates), DMV records, tax records, postal NCOA (National change of address program), returned mail, assessment records, personal property records, property tax records, correctional institutions, health institutions, new citizenship records, Foreign Affairs(citizens residing outside the country), armed forces,  and the list goes on.  There has even been a sharing of information between multiple levels of jurisdictions, from federal to province/state to municipal levels.

There are numerous companies that have developed software for the management of these lists over different platforms including: SEO, SCYTL, Datafix, KVM*, Dominion Voting and many more. Each with its own strengths and weaknesses.

Summary of countries that maintain a voter registry and some of the methods used to compile the registers **
Links to national population records
Albania, Belgium, Botswana, Canada, Croatia, Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Lithuania, Mexico, Moldova, Netherlands, Norway, Pakistan, Panama, Poland, Seychelles, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine
Links to police records of residence
Armenia, Austria, Belarus, Croatia, Czech Republic, Lithuania, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Links to applications for government services
Australia, Canada, Cape Verde, Chile, Japan, Panama, Seychelles, Slovakia
Registration by voters at registration offices
Australia, Bahamas, Barbados, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cape Verde, Chile, Costa Rica, Croatia, Dominica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, France, Germany, Guatemala, Honduras, Ireland, Lesotho, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Mexico, Moldova, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Pakistan, Panama, Paraguay, Portugal, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Door-to-door registration campaign
Albania, Australia, Barbados, Belarus, Costa Rica, India, Ireland, Mexico, Pakistan, Panama, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Seychelles, South Africa, Turkey, United Kingdom
Registration by mail
Australia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Germany, Ireland, United Kingdom;
Mobile election registrar
Australia, Mozambique, Namibia, Panama, Uganda
Internet registration
Australia, Canada, Denmark


One of the largest issues facing data professionals in the maintenance and use of outside lists to update registries is the non-standardization of data sets across numerous files. Each contributing organization has its own record layout standards based on each organization requirements.  To complicate this job there is a continuous updating of municipal GIS systems to keep up with street name changes for 911 services, new residential development and redefining of polling district due to population movement/increases.

There are a number of tools, both open source and third party licensed options for dealing with standardizing the maintenance of your RDBMS for any platform, whether the platform is Oracle, SQL, DB2, NoSQL or any other. One free service is “Google Refine” that provides an easy way to clean up messy data. Another open source solution you may want to review, that is part of the “big data” craze, is “Hadoop “or “SQOOP” and their third party suppliers, Hive, Flume, Haze etc. If you are not comfortable with or find the open source solutions difficult to use then there are commercial versions of Hadoop including Cloudera with a more user-friendly feel.

With the advances and ever-changing tools available for big data, IT managers have access to data manipulation and analytic tools on their desktop that was only available to larger organizations. What new tools will be available next?




**Source: The Election Process Information Collection, a joint project of the Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, United Nations Development Programme, and International Foundation for Election Systems (www.epicproject.org).